Volume 43 Issue 2
Apr.  2025
Turn off MathJax
Article Contents
ZHANG Mengya, YANG Xiaoguang, MA Chengyuan, YANG Jie. A Review of Traffic Operation Risk Analysis on Highways in a Connected and Automated Environment[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2025, 43(2): 137-153. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2025.02.015
Citation: ZHANG Mengya, YANG Xiaoguang, MA Chengyuan, YANG Jie. A Review of Traffic Operation Risk Analysis on Highways in a Connected and Automated Environment[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2025, 43(2): 137-153. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2025.02.015

A Review of Traffic Operation Risk Analysis on Highways in a Connected and Automated Environment

doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2025.02.015
  • Received Date: 2024-05-02
    Available Online: 2025-09-29
  • The analysis of traffic operation risks on expressways holds significant theoretical and practical value for enhancing traffic safety, reliability, and realizing proactive management. The connected environment introduces new methods, theories, and technologies for traffic risk analysis. Focusing on continuous traffic flows on highways and urban expressways, this study systematically reviews the theoretical foundations and key techniques of traffic operation risk analysis under both non-connected and connected environments, and discusses future research directions. In non-connected environments, risk analysis primarily relies on limited unstructured data, emphasizing risk factor identification, accident mechanism analysis, and risk prediction. Challenges remain in achieving high-precision scene modeling, responsive dynamic evolution analysis, and real-time risk perception and forecasting. In connected environments, the integration of multi-source real-time data enables a shift toward proactive risk prediction and localized interaction analysis, with improvements in data support and modeling accuracy. However, in mixed traffic conditions, systematic models for the interaction dynamics of heterogeneous vehicle types have not yet been fully established. The combined effects of diverse driving behaviors, communication delays, and perception deviations require further investigation, and the modeling and interpretation of dynamic factor evolution in complex environments remain incomplete. Future research should advance the modeling of human-vehicle-road collaborative evolution, refine the characterization of risk accumulation and propagation in mixed traffic, enhance multi-source data fusion and dynamic feature extraction, and strengthen the real-time performance and robustness of risk evaluation. Through theoretical innovation, data-driven methods, and integrated technological development, it is expected that an interpretable, predictable, and actionable intelligent traffic risk prevention and control system will be progressively established.

     

  • loading
  • [1]
    杨澜, 赵祥模, 吴国垣, 等. 智能网联汽车协同生态驾驶策略综述[J]. 交通运输工程学报, 2020, 20(5): 58-72.

    YANG L, ZHAO X M, WU G H, et al. Review on connected and automated vehicles based cooperative eco-driving strategies[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2020, 20(5): 58-72. (in Chinese)
    [2]
    On-Road Automated Vehicle Standards Committee. Taxonomy and definitions for terms related to on-road motor vehicle automated driving systems[J]. SAE Standard J, 2014, 3016: 1-6.
    [3]
    杨晓光, 胡仕星月, 张梦雅. 智能高速公路交通应用技术发展综述[J]. 中国公路学报, 2023, 36(10): 142-164.

    YANG X G, HU S X Y, ZHANG M Y, et al. Development of intelligent motorway traffic application technologies: a review[J]. China Journal of Highway and Transport, 2023, 36 (10): 142-164. (in Chinese)
    [4]
    FAGHIHIAN H, SARGOLZAEI A. Energy efficiency of connected autonomous vehicles: a review[J]. Electronics, 2023, 12(19): 4086.
    [5]
    张立成, 张婷, 蔡学锐, 等. 驾驶行为分类方法及量化评估综述[J]. 汽车技术, 2024(5): 1-14.

    ZHANG L C, ZHANG T, CAI X R, et al. Review of classification methods and quantitative evaluation of driving behavior[J]. Automobile Technology, 2024(5): 1-14. (in Chinese)
    [6]
    SHEN J, KAMMARA E K H, DU L. Fully distributed optimization-based CAV platooning control under linear vehicle dynamics[J]. Transportation Science, 2022, 56(2): 381-403.
    [7]
    YAO Z, JIANG H, CHENG Y, et al. Integrated schedule and trajectory optimization for connected automated vehicles in a conflict zone[J]. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2020, 23(3): 1841-1851.
    [8]
    PLOEG J, SEMSAR-KAZEROONI E, LIJSTER G, et al. Graceful degradation of cooperative adaptive cruise control[J]. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2014, 16(1): 488-497.
    [9]
    秦严严, 罗钦中, 贺正冰, 等. 网联自动驾驶车辆混合交通流专用道管控方法[J]. 交通运输工程学报, 2023, 23(3): 221-231.

    QIN Y Y, LUO Q Z, HE Z B, et al. Management and control method of dedicated lanes for mixed traffic flows with connected and automated vehicles[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2023, 23(3): 221-231. (in Chinese)
    [10]
    CHENG R, LYU H, ZHENG Y, et al. Modeling and stability analysis of cyberattack effects on heterogeneous intelligent traffic flow[J]. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2022, 604: 127941.
    [11]
    ELAMRANI ABOU ELASSAD Z, MOUSANNIF H, AL MOATASSIME H. Class-imbalanced crash prediction based on real-time traffic and weather data: A driving simulator study[J]. Traffic Injury Prevention, 2020, 21(3): 201-218.
    [12]
    ISLAM Z, ABDEL-ATY M. Traffic conflict prediction using connected vehicle data[J]. Analytic Methods in Accident Research, 2023, 39: 100275.
    [13]
    AARTS L, VAN SCHAGEN I. Driving speed and the risk o road crashes: a review[J]. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2006, 38(2): 215-224.
    [14]
    QUDDUS M. Exploring the relationship between average speed, speed variation, and accident rates using spatial statistical models and GIS[J]. Journal of Transportation Safety & Security, 2013, 5(1): 27-45.
    [15]
    谢济铭, 秦雅琴, 彭博, 等. 多车道交织区车辆跟驰行为风险判别与冲突预测[J]. 交通运输系统工程与信息, 2021, 21 (3): 131-139.

    XIE J M, QIN Y Q, PENG B, et al. Risk discrimination and conflict prediction of vehicle-following behavior in multi-lane weaving sections[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2021, 21 (3): 131-139. (in Chinese)
    [16]
    孙剑, 孙杰. 城市快速路实时交通流运行安全主动风险评估[J]. 同济大学学报: 自然科学版, 2014, 42(6): 873-879.

    SUN J, SUN J, et al. Proactive assessment of real-time traffic flow accident risk on urban expressway[J]. Journal o Tongji University(Natural Science), 2014, 42(6): 873-879 (in Chinese)
    [17]
    LIU T, LI Z, LIU P, et al. Using empirical traffic trajectory data for crash risk evaluation under three-phase traffic theory framework[J]. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2021, 157 106191.
    [18]
    KATRAKAZAS C, THEOFILATOS A, ISLAM M A, et al Prediction of rear-end conflict frequency using multiple-location traffic parameters[J]. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2021, 152: 106007.
    [19]
    MOHAMMADIAN S, HAQUE M M, ZHENG Z, et al. Integrating safety into the fundamental relations of freeway traffic flows: a conflict-based safety assessment framework[J] Analytic Methods in Accident Research, 2021, 32: 100187.
    [20]
    OH C, KIM T. Estimation of rear-end crash potential using vehicle trajectory data[J]. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2010, 42(6): 1888-1893.
    [21]
    WANG L, ZOU L, ABDEL-ATY M, et al. Expressway rear-end crash risk evolution mechanism analysis under different traffic states[J]. Transportmetrica B: Transport Dynamics, 2023, 11(1): 510-527.
    [22]
    沈传亮, 肖啸, 童言, 等. 智能汽车行驶风险评估综述[J] 汽车文摘, 2024(8): 1-8.

    SHEN C L, XIAO X, TONG Y, et al. A review of driving risk assessment for intelligent vehicles[J]. Automotive Digest, 2024(8): 1-8. (in Chinese)
    [23]
    魏丹. 基于机器学习的交通状态判别与预测方法[D]. 长春: 吉林大学, 2020.

    WEI D. Research on methods for traffic state ldentification and prediction based on machine learning[D]. Changchun: Jilin University, 2020. (in Chinese)
    [24]
    寇敏, 张萌萌, 赵军学, 等. 道路交通安全风险辨识与分析方法综述[J]. 交通信息与安全, 2022, 40(6): 22-32. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2022.06.003

    KOU M, ZHANG M M, ZHAO J X, et al. A review of identification and analysis methods for road safety risk[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2022, 40(6): 22-32. (in Chinese) doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2022.06.003
    [25]
    王雪松, 吴杏薇, 金昱. 宏观交通安全建模研究与安全影响因素分析[J]. 同济大学学报: 自然科学版, 2012, 40(11): 1627-1633.

    WANG X S, WU X W, JIN Y. Macro level safety modeling and impact factor analysis[J]. Journal of Tongji University (Natural Science), 2012, 40(11): 1627-1633. (in Chinese)
    [26]
    郭淼, 赵晓华, 姚莹, 等. 基于驾驶行为和交通运行状态的事故风险研究[J]. 华南理工大学学报: 自然科学版, 2022, 50(9): 29-38.

    GUO M, ZHAO X H, YAO Y, et al. Study on accident risk based on driving behavior and traffic operating status[J]. Journal of South China University of Technology(Natural Science Edition), 2022, 50(9): 29-38. (in Chinese)
    [27]
    ARUN A, HAQUE M M, WASHINGTON S, et al. A systematic review of traffic conflict-based safety measures with a focus on application context[J]. Analytic Methods in Accident Research, 2021, 32: 100185.
    [28]
    MAHMUD S S, FERREIRA L, HOQUE M S, et al. Reviewing traffic conflict techniques for potential application to developing countries[J]. Journal of Engineering Science and Technology, 2018, 13(6): 1869-1890.
    [29]
    WANG C, XIE Y, HUANG H, et al. A review of surrogate safety measures and their applications in connected and automated vehicles safety modeling[J]. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2021, 157: 106157.
    [30]
    GU X, CAI Q, LEE J, et al. Proactive crash risk prediction modeling for merging assistance system at interchange merging areas[J]. Traffic injury prevention, 2020, 21(3): 234-40.
    [31]
    WANG J, WU J, ZHENG X, et al. Driving safety field theory modeling and its application in pre-collision warning system[J]. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 2016, 72: 306-324.
    [32]
    MULLAKKAL-BABU F A, WANG M, HE X, et al. Probabilistic field approach for motorway driving risk assessment[J]. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 2020, 118: 102716.
    [33]
    GUéRIAU M, DUSPARIC I. Quantifying the impact of connected and autonomous vehicles on traffic efficiency and safety in mixed traffic[C]. 23th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Yunani, Eropa: IEEE, 2020.
    [34]
    VIRDI N, GRZYBOWSKA H, WALLER S T, et al. A safety assessment of mixed fleets with connected and autonomous vehicles using the surrogate safety assessment module[J]. Ac-cident Analysis & Prevention, 2019, 131: 95-111.
    [35]
    SAUNIER N, SAYED T. Probabilistic framework for automated analysis of exposure to road collisions[J]. Transportation Research Record, 2008, 2083(1): 96-104.
    [36]
    ZHENG L, SAYED T, ESSA M. Bayesian hierarchical modeling of the non-stationary traffic conflict extremes for crash estimation[J]. Analytic Methods in Accident Research, 2019, 23: 100100.
    [37]
    LI H, ZHANG J, SUN X, et al. A survey of vehicle group behaviors simulation under a connected vehicle environment[J]. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2022, 603: 127816.
    [38]
    QU X, YANG Y, LIU Z, et al. Potential crash risks of expressway on-ramps and off-ramps: a case study in Beijing China[J]. Safety Science, 2014, 70: 58-62.
    [39]
    GE H, BO Y, ZANG W, et al. Literature review of driving risk identification research based on bibliometric analysis[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering(English edition), 2023, 10(4): 560-577.
    [40]
    PAPADOULIS A, QUDDUS M, IMPRIALOU M. Evaluating the safety impact of connected and autonomous vehicles on motorways[J]. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2019, 124: 12-22.
    [41]
    MORANDO M M, TIAN Q, TRUONG L T, et al. Studying the safety impact of autonomous vehicles using simulation-based surrogate safety measures[J]. Journal of Advanced Transportation, 2018, 4(1): 6135183.
    [42]
    陈丰, 涂志敏, 陈涛. 基于ITC的自动驾驶卡车编队跟驰安全性评价[J]. 长安大学学报: 自然科学版, 2019, 39(5): 97-105.

    CHEN F, TU Z M, CHEN T. Evaluation based on ITC of rear-end collision safety of automated truck platoons[J]. Journal of Chang' an University (Natural Science Edition), 2019, 39(5): 97-105. (in Chinese)
    [43]
    钱泽昊, 潘新福, 范欣炜, 等. 基于虚拟现实的网联环境下驾驶人自由换道行为特征与安全分析[J]. 交通信息与安全, 2024, 42(2): 36-48. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2024.02.004

    QIAN Z H, PAN X F, FAN X W, et al. Characteristics and a safety analysis of driver's free lane-changing behavior in a virtual reality-based connected environment[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2024, 42(2): 36-48. (in Chinese) doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2024.02.004
    [44]
    PARK Y, YANG J H, LIM S. Development of complexity index and predictions of accident risks for mixed autonomous driving levels[C]. 47th International IEEE Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Miyazaki, Japan: IEEE, 2018.
    [45]
    HAN S, ZHOU S, WANG J, et al. A multi-agent reinforcement learning approach for safe and efficient behavior planning of connected autonomous vehicles[J]. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2023, 25(5): 3654-3670.
    [46]
    ELEFTERIADOU L, MARTIN B, SIMMERMAN T, et al. Using microsimulation to evaluate the effects of advanced vehicle technologies on congestion[R]. Gainesville: University of Florida. Center for Multimodal Solutions for Congestion Mitigation, 2011.
    [47]
    LI Y, SHI Y, LEE J, et al. Safety effects of connected and automated vehicle-based variable speed limit control near Freeway Bottlenecks considering Driver's Heterogeneity[J]. Journal of Advanced Transportation, 2022(1): 7996623.
    [48]
    WANG H, LAI J, HU J. Trajectory planner for platoon lane change[C]. 32th IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium Workshops, Nagoya, Japan: IEEE, 2021.
    [49]
    XIE Y, ZHANG H, GARTNER N H, et al. Collaborative merging strategy for freeway ramp operations in a connected and autonomous vehicles environment[J]. Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2017, 21(2): 136-147.
    [50]
    ZHU L, LU L, WANG X, et al. Operational characteristics of mixed-autonomy traffic flow on the freeway with on-and off-ramps and weaving sections: an RL-based approach[J]. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2021, 23(8): 13512-13525.
    [51]
    FANG X, LI H, TETTAMANTI T, et al. Effects of automated vehicle models at the mixed traffic situation on a motorway scenario[J]. Energies, 2022, 15(6): 1-15.
    [52]
    MA F, WANG J, ZHU S, et al. Distributed control of cooperative vehicular platoon with nonideal communication condition[J]. IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology, 2020, 69(8): 8207-8220.
    [53]
    YAN Y, PENG L, SHEN T, et al. A multi-vehicle game-theoretic framework for decision making and planning of autonomous vehicles in mixed traffic[J]. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Vehicles, 2023, 8(11): 4572-4587.
    [54]
    ABDEL-ATY M, WANG L. Implementation of variable speed limits to improve safety of congested expressway weaving segments in microsimulation[J]. Transportation Research Procedia, 2017, 27: 577-584.
    [55]
    STEVANOVIC A, STEVANOVIC J, KERGAYE C. Optimization of traffic signal timings based on surrogate measures of safety[J]. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 2013, 32: 159-178.
    [56]
    白如玉, 焦朋朋, 陈越, 等. 基于强化学习的车道级可变限速控制策略[J]. 交通信息与安全, 2024, 42(1): 105-114. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2024.01.012

    BAI R Y, JIAO P P, CHEN Y, et al. Differential variable speed limit control strategy based on reinforcement learning[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2024, 42 (1): 105-114. (in Chinese) doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2024.01.012
  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Figures(9)  / Tables(8)

    Article Metrics

    Article views (44) PDF downloads(0) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return